Jul 15 2008

Dividend Stock Wednesday: Sysco (SYY-N)


This is an analysis completed by The Dividend Guy. It is not to be used as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any stocks discussed. Please ensure you complete your own analysis.

Sysco Dividend Analysis

Much of the food that is delivered to your favorite restaurants is probably delivered by Sysco. Sysco has seen a 5 year dividend growth rate of 16.8%with a current yield of 3.10%. As a result, I thought I might have a look at their stock to see if it is worth adding to my Watch List.

TDG Points - 12

The Company: Sysco (SYY-N)

Sysco Corporation is the largest North American distributor of food and food related products to the foodservice or food-prepared-away-from-home industry. The company provides its products and services to restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, lodging establishments and other foodservice customers.

Dividend Aristocrat (25+ yrs dividend growth)
No
Dividend Achiever (10+ yrs dividend growth)
No


THE FUNDAMENTALS

Revenue

SYY - RevenueClick to Enlarge

Revenue Scoring

Criteria Scoring
Consistenly Up with No Down Years 1.0
Up Trend with Less Than 2 Down Years 0.5
Choppy with Greater Than 2 Down Years 0.0
My Revenue Score 1.0 out of 1.0

Earnings Per Share

SYY - EPSClick to Enlarge

Earnings Per Share Scoring

Criteria Scoring
Consistenly Up with No Down Years 1.0
Up Trend with Less Than 2 Down Years 0.5
Choppy with Greater Than 2 Down Years 0.0
My EPS Score 0.5 out of 1.0

TOTAL FUNDAMENTALS SCORE: 1.5 out of 2.0


THE RATIOS

Return on Equity

SYY - ROEClick to Enlarge

Return on Equity Scoring

Criteria Scoring
Above 15% for Last 5 Years 1.0
At Least One Year Below 15% in Last 5 Years 0.0
My ROE Score 1.0 out of 1.0

Other Ratios

Ratio Criteria Value Score (Pass=1 / Fail = 0)
Debt to Equity Less Than 0.50 0.62 0.0
Payout Ratio Less Than 60% 45% 1.0
Credit Rating BBB+ AA- 1.0
Total Ratio Score
2.0 out of 3.0

TOTAL RATIOS SCORE: 3.0 out of 4.0


DIVIDEND DATA
Annual Dividends

SYY - DPSClick to Enlarge

Dividend Growth Years

Criteria Scoring
10+ Years of Dividend Growth 1.0
Less Than 10 Years of Dividend Growth 0.0
My Dividend Growth Years Score 0.0 out of 1.0

Dividend Growth Rate

SYY - Dividend Growth RateClick to Enlarge

Criteria Scoring
Current Year Div Growth Greater Than or Equal to Previous Year 1.0
Current Year Div Growth Less Than Previous Year 0.0
My Dividend Growth Rate Score 0.0 out of 1.0

TOTAL DIVIDEND GROWTH SCORE: 0.0 out of 2.0


STOCK VALUATION

Valuation Metric Criteria Value Score (Pass=1 / Fail = 0)
Dividend Yield Cur Yld Greater Than 10 Yr Avg Yld 1.5% 1.0
Div Yld Compared to SPY Div Yld Cur Yld Greater Than SPY Yld 1.6% 1.0
P/E Ratio Cur P/E Less Than 10 Yr Avg P/E 24.2 1.0
Relative P/E Relative P/E Less Than 1.0 0.54 1.0
Price to Sales Less Than 1.5 0.68 1.0
Total Ratio Valuation Score
5.0 out of 5.0

Expected Return

Criteria Scoring
Expected Return Score Greater Than 10% 1.0
Expected Return Score Less Than 10% 0.0
My Expected Return Score 12.1% 1.0 out of 1.0

TOTAL STOCK VALUATION SCORE: 6.0 out of 6.0


TARGET PRICE
Canadian Shareowner’s Association Stock Selection Guide Software Buy Price

Buy Zone
Maybe Zone
Sell Zone
Current Price Rating Scoring (Buy=2.0, Other=0.0)
$22.78 to $30.85
$30.85 to $38.93
$38.93 to $47.00
$28.46
Buy
2.0

TOTAL TARGET PRICE SCORE: 2.0 out of 2.0


SUMMARY

Points Earned:

12 out of 16 – half points are rounded down to be conservative

The stock is rated Medium with 12.5 points earned through my analysis of the stock. Dividend growth has been strong in the past five years, however with a drop in 2005 and 2006 it looks a bit deceiving. However, these are the trends dividend investors like to see. If they can keep this dividend growth up, then perhaps we will see 10 years of consistent dividend growth and therefore a stock I would be more interested in. I am going to keep an eye on it – not to add to my watch list just yet but for perhaps in the future.

Rating Points Required
High 14+ points
Medium 10-13 points
Low Less Than 10 points

Reminder: This is an analysis completed by The Dividend Guy. It is not to be used as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any stocks discussed. Please ensure you complete your own analysis.

The Dividend Guy does not own shares in UPS



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1 Comments on this post

Trackbacks

  1. Dividends4Life said:

    I just sent you an email.

    Best Wishes,
    D4L

    July 16th, 2008 at 8:00 am

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