Jan 4 2012

Dividend Growth Index Q1


Hey! It’s good to be back!!!

 

First things first, if it’s your first time on this blog in 2012, you want to check my Best Dividend Stocks for 2012 article (I give a 29 analysis eBook for free ;-) ).

 

Back in September, a group of dividend bloggers launched The Dividend Growth Index. This is a dividend portfolio of 24 stocks (US and CDN). Each quarter, we follow our picks and the overall portfolio results. By following our blogs, it allows you to track closely 24 great dividend stocks and how they perform over time.

 

Intel – NASDAQ:INTC

 

Intel had surprised everyone by beating analyst’s expectations this summer with great financial results. Unfortunately, the company has lowered its Q4 revenue outlook due to a hard disk supply shortage. No hard disks, no computers. No computers… no computer chips needed from Intel! However, future outlooks remain unchanged as Intel believes the shortage will end during the first months of 2012. Being part of the Dogs of the Dow, INTC is still a good pick in my opinion.

 

Coca-Cola – NYSE:KO

Over the past few months, KO has made some interesting moves by using its liquidity for something better than earning 1% in a money market fund! In October, Coca-Cola announced they established a plan to spend $3bln in Russia followed by another announcement to spend $2bln in India in November. Most recently, they bought stakes in the Saudi Drink Company for $980 million. The 3 examples mentioned above make a clear statement: Coca-Cola is after emerging markets in order to keep growing. Since they have plenty of cash and the economy is not doing so well at the moment, this sounds like the perfect timing to use its liquidity for future growth.

 

National Bank of Canada – TSE:NA

 

National Bank posted strong financial results back in early December and increased its dividend from $0.71 to $0.75 per share at the same time. During their last quarter, NA was able to beat financial analysts’ estimates and show great results from wealth management and commercial banking. Since most revenues had previously come from trading operations, it is good news to see other segment contributing to the overall results. Finally, National Bank is looking to fully integrate their recent acquisitions (Wellington West and the brokerage segment of HSBC) in the upcoming months.

 

How the overall portfolio performed?

 

Here are the Dividend Growth Index performance compared to a mix of the Canadian and US index:

 

BloggerStockNew Shares #New PriceLive-CAD$Live-USD$
My Own AdvisorABT US Equity19.7293235256.72 $1,131.02 $1,119.05
BNS CN Equity19.1657999251.59$988.76$978.30
CLC CN Equity108.44070129.71 $1,052.96 $1,041.81
The Dividend Guy BlogINTC US Equity47.2767231424.54 $1,172.58 $1,160.17
KO US Equity14.905091470.14 $1,056.63 $1,045.44
NA CN Equity14.459041873.12 $1,057.25 $1,046.05
The Dividend MonkETE US Equity29.2444620340.54 $1,198.26 $1,185.57
NVS US Equity17.9358.18 $1,054.33 $1,043.17
WMT US Equity19.3902110860.33 $1,182.33 $1,169.81
Dividend NinjaHSE CN Equity44.6299745924.87 $1,109.95 $1,098.20
PEP US Equity16.290037566.4 $1,093.23 $1,081.66
SPLS US Equity75.7247795214.215 $1,087.95 $1,076.43
Passive Income EarnerCNR CN Equity14.338776679.71 $1,142.94 $1,130.84
CNQ CN Equity32.5835475639.86 $1,298.78 $1,285.03
AFL US Equity28.823073844.88 $1,307.42 $1,293.58
Wealthy CanadianRY CN Equity21.0437229652.82 $1,111.53 $1,099.76
FTS CN Equity55.7228752833.18 $1,848.89 $1,829.31
BIN CN Equity46.6552114119.8$923.77$913.99
Dividend MantraCOP US Equity15.9454504874.17 $1,195.33 $1,182.67
PM US Equity16.1909269978.59 $1,286.06 $1,272.44
PG US Equity15.9579561266.83 $1,077.88 $1,066.47
DividendGrowth InvestorCVX US Equity10.886571110.37 $1,214.41 $1,201.55
MCD US Equity11.4753092298.84 $1,146.36 $1,134.22
EPD US Equity25.2494299246.67 $1,191.00 $1,178.39
$28,719.39 $28,415.34

Dividend Growth Index Performance So Far

 

When I looked at the portfolio at first, I thought it was great. But you don’t know how great it is if you don’t compare it, right? So here are a few more thoughts on the Dividend Growth Index:

 

All stocks have paid dividends at least once except Novartis (pays annually), CLC pays monthly.

 

All dividends are reinvested on ex-date.

 

We had our first trade made in October when Wealthy Canadian sold DAY after a healthy profit. He then decided to buy FTS.

 

I wanted to look at the portfolio from 2 points of view (Canadian and US) since there is a difference in the currency rate:

 

In CAD:

 

Portfolio 09/30 $CAD 25,513

Portfolio Now: CAD$28,720 (would be about $800 more if FX had not moved)

 

Using last dividends paid, index pays $899 CAD per year (very conservative since NVS has not paid and many have already announced dividend increases)

 

In USD:

 

Portfolio 09/30 $USD 24,290

Portfolio Now: USD$28,415 (would be about $400 less if FX had not moved)

 

Using last dividends paid, index pays $890 USD per year (very conservative since NVS has not paid and many have already announced dividend increases)

 

Comparison:

 

If someone had bought DVY (big US dividend ETF) with the same amount, he would now have $27,355, that position would give $900 in dividends per year.. To be fair though, a large part of the outperformance is the DAY pick, but still good:)

 

You can read about the other participant picks by clicking on their name below:

My Own Advisor

The Dividend Monk

Dividend Ninja

Passive Income Earner

Wealthy Canadian

Dividend Mantra

Dividend Growth Investor

 

Disclaimer: I own shares of NA, INTC & KO



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9 Comments on this post

Trackbacks

  1. Dividend Growth Index Update Q4 2011 — Dividend Monk wrote:

    [...] can check with the bloggers involved in the index for further information on their picks. The Dividend Guy Dividend Mantra My Own Advisor The Passive Income Earner Dividend Ninja The Wealthy Canadian [...]

    January 4th, 2012 at 5:07 pm
  2. - My Own Advisor wrote:

    [...] Dividend Guy.   Regarding The Dividend Guy, check out this post to get his new FREE eBook about 29 great dividend-paying stocks for 2012! [...]

    January 4th, 2012 at 6:19 pm
  3. The Dividend Ninja » The Dividend Growth Index – Q4 Results 2011 wrote:

    [...] Dividend Guy    [...]

    January 4th, 2012 at 7:40 pm
  4. Can You Survive Google? 1 Year After The Panda Update wrote:

    [...] Create group project (see my Dividend Growth Index [...]

    March 19th, 2012 at 4:01 am
  5. Dividend Growth Index Ranking wrote:

    [...] in January, I started a power ranking over our Dividend Growth Index. The ranking was done purely based on my perception of each stock. Unfortunately, I couldn’t [...]

    March 21st, 2012 at 6:10 am
  1. Anonymous said:

    If you compare The numbers from the Dividend Growth Index link and these new numbers, the new shares amount are less than the original numbers. They are suppose to be equal or higher due to DRIP shares.

    January 4th, 2012 at 11:07 am
  2. retirebyforty said:

    Great job on the index.
    Can KO grows much in emerging market? I thought everyone already know about and have access to Coke. Aren’t they already world wide? Maybe they are growing with other drinks they own like… Nestea?

    January 4th, 2012 at 12:21 pm
  3. Mike said:

    hum… let me get back to you on this… maybe Excel did some tricky bug…or the guy behind the computer ;-)

    @Retirebyforty;
    They are worldwide but the level of consumption is still increasing in emerging market so they will sell more products ;-)

    January 4th, 2012 at 2:31 pm
  4. Mike said:

    @Anonymus,

    the original post was showing shares with price as of September 23th. This post is showing shares with price as of September 30th… I’ll have everything cleared in a few days (as of to when to we start!)

    sorry for the confusion!

    January 6th, 2012 at 3:50 am

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