Jun 4 2008

Dividend Stock Wednesday: Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB-N)


This is an analysis completed by The Dividend Guy. It is not to be used as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any stocks discussed. Please ensure you complete your own analysis.

Kimberly Clark

When you need to blow your nose, what do you ask for? Most people ask for a Kleenex and Kleenex is a brand owned by the Kimberly-Clark Corporation. What we really asking for a tissue, however Kleenex has done such a good job of associating tissues with the Kleenex brand it is something we all recognize and associate with. Kimberly-Clark is also a strong dividend stock, with at least 25 years of dividend increases. Obviously that is something that I and other dividend investors are very interested in. I had a look at the stock, and here is what I found.

TDG Points - 12

The Company: Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB-N)

Kimberly-Clark Corporation is one of the leading consumer products companies. Its global tissue, personal care and health care brands include Huggies, Pull-Ups, Kotex, Depend, Kleenex, Scott, Kimberly-Clark, Safeskin, Tecnol, Kimwipes and Wypall. Other brands well known outside the U.S. include Andrex, Scottex, Page, Popee and Kimbies. Kimberly-Clark also is a major producer of premium business, correspondence and technical papers.

Dividend Aristocrat (25+ yrs dividend growth)
Yes
Dividend Achiever (10+ yrs dividend growth)
Yes


THE FUNDAMENTALS

Revenue

KMB - RevenueClick to Enlarge

Revenue Scoring

Criteria Scoring
Consistenly Up with No Down Years 1.0
Up Trend with Less Than 2 Down Years 0.5
Choppy with Greater Than 2 Down Years 0.0
My Revenue Score 0.5 out of 1.0

Earnings Per Share

KMB - EPSClick to Enlarge

Earnings Per Share Scoring

Criteria Scoring
Consistenly Up with No Down Years 1.0
Up Trend with Less Than 2 Down Years 0.5
Choppy with Greater Than 2 Down Years 0.0
My EPS Score 0.5 out of 1.0

TOTAL FUNDAMENTALS SCORE: 1.0 out of 2.0


THE RATIOS

Return on Equity

KMB - ROEClick to Enlarge

Return on Equity Scoring

Criteria Scoring
Above 15% for Last 5 Years 1.0
At Least One Year Below 15% in Last 5 Years 0.0
My ROE Score 1.0 out of 1.0

Other Ratios

Ratio Criteria Value Score (Pass=1 / Fail = 0)
Debt to Equity Less Than 0.50 1.03 0.0
Payout Ratio Less Than 60% 51% 1.0
Credit Rating BBB+ A+ 1.0
Total Ratio Score
2.0 out of 3.0

TOTAL RATIOS SCORE: 3.0 out of 4.0


DIVIDEND DATA
Annual Dividends

KMB - DPSClick to Enlarge

Dividend Scoring

Criteria Scoring
25+ Years of Dividend Growth 1.0
10+ Years of Dividend Growth 1.0
Less Than 10 Years of Dividend Growth 0.0
My Dividend Growth Score 2.0 out of 2.0

TOTAL DIVIDEND GROWTH SCORE: 2.0 out of 2.0


STOCK VALUATION

Valuation Metric Criteria Value Score (Pass=1 / Fail = 0)
Dividend Yield Cur Yld Greater Than 10 Yr Avg Yld 2.5% 1.0
Div Yld Compared to SPY Div Yld Cur Yld Greater Than SPY Yld 1.8% 1.0
P/E Ratio Cur P/E Less Than 10 Yr Avg P/E 17.3 1.0
Relative P/E Relative P/E Less Than 1.0 0.84 1.0
Price to Sales Less Than 1.5 1.43 1.0
Total Ratio Valuation Score
5.0 out of 5.0

Canadian Shareowner’s Association Stock Selection Guide Software Buy Price

Buy Zone
Maybe Zone
Sell Zone
Current Price Rating Scoring (Buy=1.0, Other=0.0)
$50.38 to $66.11
$66.11 to $81.83
$81.83 to $97.56
$62.98
Buy
1.0

TOTAL STOCK VALUATION SCORE: 6.0 out of 6.0


SUMMARY

Points Earned:

12 out of 14 – half points are rounded down to be conservative

The stock is rated HIGH with 12 points earned through my analysis of the stock. The revenue and EPS trends are not totally positive, as there have been a couple of down years in the past. However, these down years are not too dramatic for that much concern. I am a little discouraged by the higher debt level the company has taken on. An investor will want to watch to ensure this metric trends downward in subsequent re-evaluations of the company. Overall, I am encouraged by the company and am going to add it to my watch list.

Rating Points Required
High 11+ points
Medium 8-10 points
Low < 8 points

Reminder: This is an analysis completed by The Dividend Guy. It is not to be used as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any stocks discussed. Please ensure you complete your own analysis.

The Dividend Guy does not own shares in HSE



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3 Comments on this post

Trackbacks

  1. 92nd Edition of the Festival of Stocks - Fat Pitch Financials wrote:

    [...] Dividend Guy Blog presents Dividend Stock Wednesday: Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB-N). Dividend analysis of Kleenex maker [...]

    June 9th, 2008 at 7:37 am
  1. Cash Canuck said:

    I love dividend stock Wednesdays. Keep up the good work DG!

    Have you “tweaked” your point-tally system over time? Or have you basically used the same system from the start?

    June 4th, 2008 at 6:30 pm
  2. The Dividend Guy said:

    HI Cash Canuck – thanks for the comment.

    YEs, I have tweaked it over time and am planning on doing so once again shortly. I think I need to separate the fundamentals and the valuation part out a bit more. I want to decide on the fundamentals of the company first, decide if I should even go forward with the stock, and then determine what price I would be comfortable buying it at!

    TDG

    June 5th, 2008 at 6:59 pm

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