Who would have thought a beaver could run faster than an eagle?
You might want to say that it’s only one quarter and that the Canadian stock market has been beaten up nicely by the US stock market for the past… well I don’t remember since when, but let’s just say that you should never bet against America ;-). If you still have doubt, let’s just take a look at how both markets have performed since the 2008 crash:
But recently, the Canadian stock market has been showing some very interesting perspectives. After all, yesterday’s winner is probably not the horse you should bet on today!
Why the Canadian Stock Market is The Best Place to Be Now
I don’t write this because I’m Canadian. In fact, I was heavily invested in US stocks between 2012 and 2015 and this had served me well. However, in this beginning of 2016, I found several very interesting companies to purchase (RY, AGU, CNR, EMA) on my side of the border. I guess the first reason for buying Canadian stocks at the moment is the chances of seeing the currency much weaker than this is almost impossible (especially when we hit 1.45 exchange rate!). But I’m not a big believe in fx rate bets over the long run. I have other reasons to believe the Canadian stock market was the best place to invest my money right now.
Hidden Gems in the Canadian Market
My favorite saying about investing is:
“The time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets.”
Well when the TSX over lost 20% between April 2015 and January 2016, I call for the bloody street:
While the stock market is in a pretty hectic mood, this is the perfect time to invest. What I find particularly interesting at the moment is that most of this important drop is related to the collapse of oil prices. However, believe it or not, the Canadian stock market is more than an oil market. The best proof I can give you is the fact that even though it’s been a very tough 2 years for the oil industry, Canada hasn’t entered a recession yet. Unless you take the recession definition to the letter (exactly 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth), the Canadian economy has been able to keep its head above water over the past 2 years. The services sector and exports had taken the lead and now that oil prices are gaining some strength, we can see there are several opportunities.
First, the oil industry. Well this one was an obvious choice. What is not so obvious is how to navigate through the bleeding companies. Some will die, some will survive, can you make the right choices? This is another story. I published a special review in January for my DSR members as it is quite a challenge to make sure you pick the survivor at the moment. But still, this is where the money is.
Second, the financial industry. Canadian banks have rarely paid such a high dividend yield. Besides 2008, this is probably your best chance of picking super strong dividend growth companies for your portfolio. Everybody is worried about oil sector defaulting on their loans and the possibility of a mortgage industry collapse. However, most investors have forgotten that banks have less than 3% of their portfolio on average concentrated in the oil industry. As for mortgages, they have been able to diversify their activities through capital markets, US banking and wealth management to cover for any housing slowdown in Canada.
Then, there are more, a lot more. The thing is that since roughly 50% of the Canadian stock market is concentrated in resources and financials, the other great dividend payers are buried under a pile of negativism. Hidden in this pile, I was able to find some gems such as Agrium (AGU), SNC Lavalin (SNC), Canadian National Railway (CNR) and Emera (EMA) in the past 12 months.
Unfortunately, not everything is on sale right now. There are also companies whose shares are down and that will stay down because they will not adapt to the current economy. How can you tell the difference? I think I know…
Here’s a Guy to Show You The Way
“Pat McKeough is one of a select few commentators who stands out from the many shills, flacks and frauds who inhabit the investment universe. The extent of my personal investment advice is to heed the advice of this gentleman.”
Financial Post Columnist
Results calculated by Hulbert Financial Digest, an independent authority on published investment advice, show that McKeough’s advice has generally surpassed returns from market averages. MarketWatch has called McKeough “one of the top investment letter editors on the continent”. His proprietary ValuVesting System focuses on assembling a low-risk investment portfolio of stocks that appear to have exceptional quality at a relatively low price.
Pat McKeough is the publisher and editor of the investing newsletter The Successful Investor focusing solely on the Canadian stock market. I think I just made this obvious he runs the best Canadian newsletter around. While I’m very proud of my own membership platform, I must admit that I still read Pat’s newsletter.
This is why I reached out to him in order to get a great deal for my readers.
Special Deal For The Dividend Guy Blog’s Readers
Since I really like the newsletter, I decided to subscribe myself and ask for a rebate for you, Anyone who wants to subscribe to this newsletter will have to pay $139 and I got it for $40!
Click here to sign-up this offer is only good for 30 days!
For only $40, your subscription includes The Successful Investor newsletter delivered each month (12 x a year), this is $3.33 per newsletter. It also includes their weekly email Hotline Service (value $75.00, free with your subscription) and a monthly portfolio supplement. Subscribers will also receive access to the complete library of back issues and previous hotlines.
PSST! If you are a DSR members, send me your confirmation and I’ll send you another rebate by check!
Disclaimer: I’m long RY, AGU, EMA, CNR